Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C for Warsaw on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks around 17–19°C after cooler overnight lows near 11–12°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C. September climatology for the city features average maxima of 16–20°C, and today’s stable pressure field lacks the warm advection or clear-sky heating that could push readings higher. Updated model runs overnight have shown little shift, keeping the tight distribution centered on the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
17°C 54%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 5%
$13,196 ปริมาณ
$13,196 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
20%
17°C
54%
18°C
25%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 54%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
19°C 5%
$13,196 ปริมาณ
$13,196 ปริมาณ
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
20%
17°C
54%
18°C
25%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European weather services indicate a daytime high near 17–18°C for Warsaw on September 11, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus, consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks around 17–19°C after cooler overnight lows near 11–12°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 17°C. September climatology for the city features average maxima of 16–20°C, and today’s stable pressure field lacks the warm advection or clear-sky heating that could push readings higher. Updated model runs overnight have shown little shift, keeping the tight distribution centered on the two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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