Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 13 most likely reaching 32–34°C, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-monsoon patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where convective activity and reduced insolation prevent extremes above 35°C while maintaining values above 30°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 33°C as the mode because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clearing or stronger advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the official daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 13?
33°C 43%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
43%
34°C
26%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 43%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
28°C or below
$212 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$128 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$130 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$1,560 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$362 ปริมาณ
43%
34°C
$281 ปริมาณ
26%
35°C
$117 ปริมาณ
6%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 13 most likely reaching 32–34°C, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-monsoon patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where convective activity and reduced insolation prevent extremes above 35°C while maintaining values above 30°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 33°C as the mode because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clearing or stronger advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the official daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,824วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 13 most likely reaching 32–34°C, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-monsoon patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where convective activity and reduced insolation prevent extremes above 35°C while maintaining values above 30°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 33°C as the mode because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clearing or stronger advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the official daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,824วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models show maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 13 most likely reaching 32–34°C, driven by persistent easterly winds, high humidity near 70–80%, and scattered cloud cover with thunderstorm chances that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with typical late-monsoon patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where convective activity and reduced insolation prevent extremes above 35°C while maintaining values above 30°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 33°C as the mode because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this narrow band, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers that would require unexpected clearing or stronger advection. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria based on the official daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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