Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 12?
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
22%
33°C
45%
34°C
25%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 45%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$245 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$1,142 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$164 ปริมาณ
45%
34°C
$90 ปริมาณ
25%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities highest for a 33°C peak on September 12 in Lucknow, followed by 32°C and 34°C. Official forecasts from sources including the India Meteorological Department indicate partly cloudy to overcast skies with 60-95% rain or thunderstorm chances through the weekend, which limit solar heating and hold daytime maxima near 32-34°C (roughly 90-93°F). A recent low-pressure system in the Bay of Bengal has sustained elevated humidity and scattered precipitation, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover around 33°C. Model consensus shows minimal risk of clearer, hotter conditions that would push readings to 35°C or above, while cooler outcomes below 31°C appear unlikely absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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