Recent model consensus from ECMWF and DWD ensembles points to a post-frontal cool-down for Munich on September 10, following a warm September 8 and heavy rain on the 9th, with northerly to northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon maxima most likely between 17–19°C under increasing high pressure, though ensemble spreads allow for 16–21°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values below that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C as new model runs approach resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
19°C 31%
20°C 30%
18°C 20%
21°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
31%
20°C
30%
21°C
13%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
3%
19°C 31%
20°C 30%
18°C 20%
21°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C
$20 ปริมาณ
20%
19°C
$70 ปริมาณ
31%
20°C
$48 ปริมาณ
30%
21°C
$21 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C or higher
$43 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and DWD ensembles points to a post-frontal cool-down for Munich on September 10, following a warm September 8 and heavy rain on the 9th, with northerly to northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon maxima most likely between 17–19°C under increasing high pressure, though ensemble spreads allow for 16–21°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values below that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C as new model runs approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$344วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and DWD ensembles points to a post-frontal cool-down for Munich on September 10, following a warm September 8 and heavy rain on the 9th, with northerly to northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon maxima most likely between 17–19°C under increasing high pressure, though ensemble spreads allow for 16–21°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values below that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C as new model runs approach resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$344วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and DWD ensembles points to a post-frontal cool-down for Munich on September 10, following a warm September 8 and heavy rain on the 9th, with northerly to northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating. Official guidance shows afternoon maxima most likely between 17–19°C under increasing high pressure, though ensemble spreads allow for 16–21°C depending on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September 10 averages near 20.5°C provide context, yet the current pattern favors values below that baseline. Traders appear to weigh these short-range variables heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting tight clustering around 18–20°C as new model runs approach resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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