**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
28°C 86%
29°C 10%
30°C 3%
33°C <1%
$48,348 ปริมาณ
$48,348 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
86%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 86%
29°C 10%
30°C 3%
33°C <1%
$48,348 ปริมาณ
$48,348 ปริมาณ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$12,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$8,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$6,901 ปริมาณ
86%
29°C
$4,780 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$6,239 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$2,570 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,036 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$692 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,297 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,319 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,298 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,348วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,348วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southerly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 8, positioning 27–28 °C as the market leaders at 45 % and 32.5 % implied probability.** Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and recent observations indicate a maximum near 29–30 °C under mostly cloudy skies with 50–80 % rain chances through the afternoon, consistent with typical early-September conditions when reduced solar insolation and high humidity limit warming. Current readings around 30 °C midday align with this range, while model consensus shows little support for 29 °C or higher given the steering pattern and moisture. Traders appear to weigh the ongoing precipitation and limited insolation more heavily than any brief clearing, keeping lower outcomes dominant ahead of final hourly reports that will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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