Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Luft Time indicate highs of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 8 under partly cloudy skies following recent thunderstorms, supporting the market’s close 35–36°C pricing. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including light northeasterly winds and subsidence after monsoon moisture, favor daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September 8 averages near 32.6°C and records of 35.9°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated runs from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
35°C 28%
36°C 26%
38°C 16%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
28%
36°C
26%
37°C
7%
38°C
16%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 28%
36°C 26%
38°C 16%
34°C 10%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
8%
34°C
10%
35°C
28%
36°C
26%
37°C
7%
38°C
16%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Luft Time indicate highs of 33–35°C for Guangzhou on September 8 under partly cloudy skies following recent thunderstorms, supporting the market’s close 35–36°C pricing. Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including light northeasterly winds and subsidence after monsoon moisture, favor daytime heating, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September 8 averages near 32.6°C and records of 35.9°C provide context for the tight distribution. Updated runs from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration will clarify steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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