Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models points to a high-pressure ridge directing warmer easterly to southeasterly flow into northern France, supporting afternoon highs of 28–32 °C on September 6. Multiple runs converge on 29–30 °C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong insolation while any late-day moisture could cap temperatures slightly lower. This setup sits well above the long-term September average of roughly 23 °C yet remains below the 2023 record of 33.9 °C. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes against the potential for small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next high-resolution update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 6?
29°C 33%
30°C 27%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
26°C or below
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
30°C 27%
31°C 14%
28°C 13%
26°C or below
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models points to a high-pressure ridge directing warmer easterly to southeasterly flow into northern France, supporting afternoon highs of 28–32 °C on September 6. Multiple runs converge on 29–30 °C as the most likely peak under partly cloudy skies, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing strong insolation while any late-day moisture could cap temperatures slightly lower. This setup sits well above the long-term September average of roughly 23 °C yet remains below the 2023 record of 33.9 °C. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes against the potential for small shifts in model timing or boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next high-resolution update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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