Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 32–33°C in Beijing on September 4 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities. These conditions favor strong solar insolation and limited mixing, allowing surface heating to peak in that narrow range amid Beijing’s urban heat island. Historical early-September averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Minor model differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts could tip the maximum by 1°C, with official China Meteorological Administration observations determining resolution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
33°C 34%
32°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
29%
33°C
30%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 29%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$24 ปริมาณ
14%
32°C
$4 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$7 ปริมาณ
30%
34°C
$7 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 32–33°C in Beijing on September 4 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities. These conditions favor strong solar insolation and limited mixing, allowing surface heating to peak in that narrow range amid Beijing’s urban heat island. Historical early-September averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Minor model differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts could tip the maximum by 1°C, with official China Meteorological Administration observations determining resolution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 32–33°C in Beijing on September 4 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities. These conditions favor strong solar insolation and limited mixing, allowing surface heating to peak in that narrow range amid Beijing’s urban heat island. Historical early-September averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Minor model differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts could tip the maximum by 1°C, with official China Meteorological Administration observations determining resolution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 32–33°C in Beijing on September 4 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation chances, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities. These conditions favor strong solar insolation and limited mixing, allowing surface heating to peak in that narrow range amid Beijing’s urban heat island. Historical early-September averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly driven by persistent high pressure. Minor model differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts could tip the maximum by 1°C, with official China Meteorological Administration observations determining resolution. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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