Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and global ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima clustered around 24–26°C. This consensus aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 25°C (39%) and 26°C (25.5%), as traders weigh the narrow ensemble spread against typical late-summer variability in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Official guidance shows low uncertainty in avoiding extremes, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise high by 1°C ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 2?
25°C 40%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
27°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
40%
26°C
26%
27°C
13%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 40%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
27°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$201 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$389 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,242 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$1,197 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$1,181 ปริมาณ
40%
26°C
$1,405 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$1,016 ปริมาณ
13%
28°C
$113 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$931 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and global ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima clustered around 24–26°C. This consensus aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 25°C (39%) and 26°C (25.5%), as traders weigh the narrow ensemble spread against typical late-summer variability in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Official guidance shows low uncertainty in avoiding extremes, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise high by 1°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,282วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and global ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima clustered around 24–26°C. This consensus aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 25°C (39%) and 26°C (25.5%), as traders weigh the narrow ensemble spread against typical late-summer variability in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Official guidance shows low uncertainty in avoiding extremes, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise high by 1°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,282วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and global ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure regime over northern France on September 2, with light westerly winds, partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk supporting daytime maxima clustered around 24–26°C. This consensus aligns closely with the market's leading implied probabilities for 25°C (39%) and 26°C (25.5%), as traders weigh the narrow ensemble spread against typical late-summer variability in urban heat-island effects and exact timing of peak insolation. Official guidance shows low uncertainty in avoiding extremes, though minor revisions in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the precise high by 1°C ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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