Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +2.6°C and over 90% odds of a very strong event through fall 2026, represent the dominant driver tilting trader sentiment toward below-average Seattle precipitation. NOAA and regional outlooks favor drier-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest in September–November, consistent with suppressed storm tracks and warmer, more stable air masses typical of El Niño onset. Historical analogs and model guidance show September totals often clustering near or below the 1.8–2 inch climatological mean as the rainy season transition begins, though early-month variability and potential late-September atmospheric rivers introduce spread across the 1–3 inch bins. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact monthly accumulation amid evolving forecast guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPrecipitation in Seattle in September?
Precipitation in Seattle in September?
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
<1"
26%
1-1.5"
20%
1.5-2"
17%
2.5-3"
16%
2-2.5"
14%
3-4"
11%
>4"
8%
<1" 26%
1-1.5" 20%
1.5-2" 17%
2.5-3" 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
<1"
$156 ปริมาณ
26%
1-1.5"
$118 ปริมาณ
20%
1.5-2"
$112 ปริมาณ
17%
2.5-3"
$182 ปริมาณ
16%
2-2.5"
$130 ปริมาณ
14%
3-4"
$203 ปริมาณ
11%
>4"
$203 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +2.6°C and over 90% odds of a very strong event through fall 2026, represent the dominant driver tilting trader sentiment toward below-average Seattle precipitation. NOAA and regional outlooks favor drier-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest in September–November, consistent with suppressed storm tracks and warmer, more stable air masses typical of El Niño onset. Historical analogs and model guidance show September totals often clustering near or below the 1.8–2 inch climatological mean as the rainy season transition begins, though early-month variability and potential late-September atmospheric rivers introduce spread across the 1–3 inch bins. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact monthly accumulation amid evolving forecast guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,104วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +2.6°C and over 90% odds of a very strong event through fall 2026, represent the dominant driver tilting trader sentiment toward below-average Seattle precipitation. NOAA and regional outlooks favor drier-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest in September–November, consistent with suppressed storm tracks and warmer, more stable air masses typical of El Niño onset. Historical analogs and model guidance show September totals often clustering near or below the 1.8–2 inch climatological mean as the rainy season transition begins, though early-month variability and potential late-September atmospheric rivers introduce spread across the 1–3 inch bins. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact monthly accumulation amid evolving forecast guidance.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,104วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 9:43 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong El Niño conditions, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +2.6°C and over 90% odds of a very strong event through fall 2026, represent the dominant driver tilting trader sentiment toward below-average Seattle precipitation. NOAA and regional outlooks favor drier-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest in September–November, consistent with suppressed storm tracks and warmer, more stable air masses typical of El Niño onset. Historical analogs and model guidance show September totals often clustering near or below the 1.8–2 inch climatological mean as the rainy season transition begins, though early-month variability and potential late-September atmospheric rivers introduce spread across the 1–3 inch bins. The closely matched leading probabilities reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact monthly accumulation amid evolving forecast guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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