Wellington, New Zealand, positioned in the Roaring Forties and funneled by Cook Strait topography, experiences peak spring gusts driven by westerly and northwesterly flows, with historical September extremes at the airport and exposed sites like Mt. Kaukau often reaching 90–120 km/h. As of mid-September 2026, recorded gusts have remained in the 60–96 km/h range amid moderate northwesterlies and no major low-pressure systems, while short-term forecasts indicate continued moderate conditions without strong model signals for intensification. This observed pattern and remaining seasonal baseline support the market’s heavy weighting toward a 90–101 km/h monthly peak, with only modest implied odds for an extreme event above 102 km/h before month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September
90 to 101 km/h 72%
102 km/h or above 18%
89 km/h or below 3.3%
89 km/h or below
3%
90 to 101 km/h
72%
102 km/h or above
18%
90 to 101 km/h 72%
102 km/h or above 18%
89 km/h or below 3.3%
89 km/h or below
3%
90 to 101 km/h
72%
102 km/h or above
18%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Wellington, New Zealand, positioned in the Roaring Forties and funneled by Cook Strait topography, experiences peak spring gusts driven by westerly and northwesterly flows, with historical September extremes at the airport and exposed sites like Mt. Kaukau often reaching 90–120 km/h. As of mid-September 2026, recorded gusts have remained in the 60–96 km/h range amid moderate northwesterlies and no major low-pressure systems, while short-term forecasts indicate continued moderate conditions without strong model signals for intensification. This observed pattern and remaining seasonal baseline support the market’s heavy weighting toward a 90–101 km/h monthly peak, with only modest implied odds for an extreme event above 102 km/h before month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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