**Persistent warm, humid conditions from a southerly air mass and limited overnight radiative cooling are keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 48–50% for minimum temperatures in the 19–24°C range on September 2, 2026, with 25°C+ also at 50%.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, followed by overnight lows of 18–21°C. High dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity (often 85–95%) from recent heavy rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range by suppressing clear-sky cooling. Light to moderate winds and possible lingering cloud cover or showers further limit heat loss, supporting the elevated minimums implied by trader consensus. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation amounts, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Colder outcomes below 18°C carry lower probabilities (43.5% or less) because a strong cold front or clear, calm conditions would be required to allow greater radiational cooling—scenarios not favored in current guidance. Historical September normals for Toronto lows near 15–16°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates warmer due to the ongoing late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of September 2 will be key for any shifts in these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Toronto on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 2?
19°C 100%
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C or higher 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
47%
16°C
81%
17°C
83%
18°C
96%
19°C
100%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
100%
23°C
98%
24°C
100%
25°C or higher
100%
19°C 100%
22°C 100%
24°C 100%
25°C or higher 100%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 2, 2026
15°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
47%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
81%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
83%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
25°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions from a southerly air mass and limited overnight radiative cooling are keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 48–50% for minimum temperatures in the 19–24°C range on September 2, 2026, with 25°C+ also at 50%.**
Official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, followed by overnight lows of 18–21°C. High dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity (often 85–95%) from recent heavy rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range by suppressing clear-sky cooling. Light to moderate winds and possible lingering cloud cover or showers further limit heat loss, supporting the elevated minimums implied by trader consensus.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation amounts, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Colder outcomes below 18°C carry lower probabilities (43.5% or less) because a strong cold front or clear, calm conditions would be required to allow greater radiational cooling—scenarios not favored in current guidance. Historical September normals for Toronto lows near 15–16°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates warmer due to the ongoing late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of September 2 will be key for any shifts in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions from a southerly air mass and limited overnight radiative cooling are keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 48–50% for minimum temperatures in the 19–24°C range on September 2, 2026, with 25°C+ also at 50%.**
Official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, followed by overnight lows of 18–21°C. High dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity (often 85–95%) from recent heavy rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range by suppressing clear-sky cooling. Light to moderate winds and possible lingering cloud cover or showers further limit heat loss, supporting the elevated minimums implied by trader consensus.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation amounts, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Colder outcomes below 18°C carry lower probabilities (43.5% or less) because a strong cold front or clear, calm conditions would be required to allow greater radiational cooling—scenarios not favored in current guidance. Historical September normals for Toronto lows near 15–16°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates warmer due to the ongoing late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of September 2 will be key for any shifts in these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions from a southerly air mass and limited overnight radiative cooling are keeping market-implied odds tightly clustered around 48–50% for minimum temperatures in the 19–24°C range on September 2, 2026, with 25°C+ also at 50%.** Official forecasts from Environment Canada and other models show daytime highs near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers, followed by overnight lows of 18–21°C. High dew points near 20–22°C and elevated humidity (often 85–95%) from recent heavy rainfall reduce the diurnal temperature range by suppressing clear-sky cooling. Light to moderate winds and possible lingering cloud cover or showers further limit heat loss, supporting the elevated minimums implied by trader consensus. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects model uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation amounts, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours. Colder outcomes below 18°C carry lower probabilities (43.5% or less) because a strong cold front or clear, calm conditions would be required to allow greater radiational cooling—scenarios not favored in current guidance. Historical September normals for Toronto lows near 15–16°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates warmer due to the ongoing late-summer warmth. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of September 2 will be key for any shifts in these odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย