Trader consensus favors a 13–14°C overnight low for Paris on September 1, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models showing a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe with light winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiative cooling. Small spreads between these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal mixing rates, which can alter surface temperatures by roughly 1°C depending on exact advection patterns. Recent model runs have tightened around this range after earlier variability from upstream Atlantic flow, while lower probabilities for warmer or colder thresholds reflect the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Updated guidance from Météo-France will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 1?
14°C 42%
13°C 33%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
33%
14°C
42%
15°C
15%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 42%
13°C 33%
15°C 15%
12°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
9°C or below
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$81 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$28 ปริมาณ
8%
13°C
$206 ปริมาณ
33%
14°C
$209 ปริมาณ
42%
15°C
$6 ปริมาณ
15%
16°C
$47 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$71 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 13–14°C overnight low for Paris on September 1, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models showing a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe with light winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiative cooling. Small spreads between these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal mixing rates, which can alter surface temperatures by roughly 1°C depending on exact advection patterns. Recent model runs have tightened around this range after earlier variability from upstream Atlantic flow, while lower probabilities for warmer or colder thresholds reflect the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Updated guidance from Météo-France will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,053วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 13–14°C overnight low for Paris on September 1, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models showing a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe with light winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiative cooling. Small spreads between these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal mixing rates, which can alter surface temperatures by roughly 1°C depending on exact advection patterns. Recent model runs have tightened around this range after earlier variability from upstream Atlantic flow, while lower probabilities for warmer or colder thresholds reflect the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Updated guidance from Météo-France will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,053วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 13–14°C overnight low for Paris on September 1, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models showing a stable high-pressure ridge over western Europe with light winds and limited cloud cover that favors radiative cooling. Small spreads between these outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and nocturnal mixing rates, which can alter surface temperatures by roughly 1°C depending on exact advection patterns. Recent model runs have tightened around this range after earlier variability from upstream Atlantic flow, while lower probabilities for warmer or colder thresholds reflect the absence of strong frontal systems or anomalous heat advection. Updated guidance from Météo-France will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย