Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical early-September setup for San Francisco, with morning marine layer and onshore flow limiting afternoon warming and supporting highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest yet non-zero, driven by uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any clearing. Historical September 1 averages near 70 °F provide context, but persistent northwest winds and coastal stratus favor the cooler side of climatology unless subsidence strengthens. Upcoming model runs and morning soundings will refine whether the high reaches the 70–71 °F bin or stays nearer 66–67 °F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 1?
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
62-63°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
14%
78°F or higher
14%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 21%
66-67°F 20%
62-63°F 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
59°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
64-65°F
$6 ปริมาณ
12%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
76-77°F
$5 ปริมาณ
14%
78°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical early-September setup for San Francisco, with morning marine layer and onshore flow limiting afternoon warming and supporting highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest yet non-zero, driven by uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any clearing. Historical September 1 averages near 70 °F provide context, but persistent northwest winds and coastal stratus favor the cooler side of climatology unless subsidence strengthens. Upcoming model runs and morning soundings will refine whether the high reaches the 70–71 °F bin or stays nearer 66–67 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical early-September setup for San Francisco, with morning marine layer and onshore flow limiting afternoon warming and supporting highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest yet non-zero, driven by uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any clearing. Historical September 1 averages near 70 °F provide context, but persistent northwest winds and coastal stratus favor the cooler side of climatology unless subsidence strengthens. Upcoming model runs and morning soundings will refine whether the high reaches the 70–71 °F bin or stays nearer 66–67 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical early-September setup for San Francisco, with morning marine layer and onshore flow limiting afternoon warming and supporting highs clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range because ensemble spreads remain modest yet non-zero, driven by uncertainty in exact marine-layer depth and timing of any clearing. Historical September 1 averages near 70 °F provide context, but persistent northwest winds and coastal stratus favor the cooler side of climatology unless subsidence strengthens. Upcoming model runs and morning soundings will refine whether the high reaches the 70–71 °F bin or stays nearer 66–67 °F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย