Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 1?
74-75°F 69%
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 49%
70-71°F 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
51%
74-75°F
69%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
17%
82°F or higher
30%
74-75°F 69%
72-73°F 51%
76-77°F 49%
70-71°F 35%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
63°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
69%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
82°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Seattle on September 1 show notable spread in projected highs, with several guidance runs centering on the mid-70s under partly sunny conditions while others allow for stronger marine air influence or greater cloud cover that could cap readings nearer 70°F or below. Recent pattern evolution, including a shift from late-August warmth and strengthening onshore flow, has introduced uncertainty around the exact steering of a weak Pacific disturbance. This divergence, combined with Seattle’s typical sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and marine layer depth, underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities between cooler mid-60s outcomes and the 82°F-plus threshold. Updated National Weather Service model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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