The Met Office forecast for 30 August, showing a daytime maximum of 23 °C under southwesterly flow with scattered showers and variable cloud, anchors the leading market-implied odds at 23 °C (43 %) and 22 °C (30.5 %). Recent ensemble runs indicate modest diurnal warming capped by Atlantic moisture and limited insolation, keeping values near late-August climatology rather than allowing spikes above 24 °C. Unsettled conditions persisting from the bank holiday weekend have reinforced this consensus among traders, who treat official guidance and model agreement as the primary signals ahead of final resolution. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 30?
Highest temperature in London on August 30?
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 11%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
11%
22°C
31%
23°C
40%
24°C
11%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 11%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$83 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$26 ปริมาณ
6%
21°C
$64 ปริมาณ
11%
22°C
$99 ปริมาณ
31%
23°C
$316 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$100 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C or higher
$105 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast for 30 August, showing a daytime maximum of 23 °C under southwesterly flow with scattered showers and variable cloud, anchors the leading market-implied odds at 23 °C (43 %) and 22 °C (30.5 %). Recent ensemble runs indicate modest diurnal warming capped by Atlantic moisture and limited insolation, keeping values near late-August climatology rather than allowing spikes above 24 °C. Unsettled conditions persisting from the bank holiday weekend have reinforced this consensus among traders, who treat official guidance and model agreement as the primary signals ahead of final resolution. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,003วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast for 30 August, showing a daytime maximum of 23 °C under southwesterly flow with scattered showers and variable cloud, anchors the leading market-implied odds at 23 °C (43 %) and 22 °C (30.5 %). Recent ensemble runs indicate modest diurnal warming capped by Atlantic moisture and limited insolation, keeping values near late-August climatology rather than allowing spikes above 24 °C. Unsettled conditions persisting from the bank holiday weekend have reinforced this consensus among traders, who treat official guidance and model agreement as the primary signals ahead of final resolution. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,003วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Met Office forecast for 30 August, showing a daytime maximum of 23 °C under southwesterly flow with scattered showers and variable cloud, anchors the leading market-implied odds at 23 °C (43 %) and 22 °C (30.5 %). Recent ensemble runs indicate modest diurnal warming capped by Atlantic moisture and limited insolation, keeping values near late-August climatology rather than allowing spikes above 24 °C. Unsettled conditions persisting from the bank holiday weekend have reinforced this consensus among traders, who treat official guidance and model agreement as the primary signals ahead of final resolution. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift probabilities if clearer skies develop.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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