Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mild maritime air. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but the current warm anomaly and unsettled pattern with showers favor milder nights. Model spread in timing of cloud breaks and wind strength creates uncertainty between 14–17°C outcomes, reflected in closely matched trader-implied probabilities across that range. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 29–30 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
21°C or higher 57%
14°C 48%
16°C 46%
18°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
14%
12°C
15%
13°C
17%
14°C
48%
15°C
25%
16°C
46%
17°C
29%
18°C
45%
19°C
8%
20°C
37%
21°C or higher
57%
21°C or higher 57%
14°C 48%
16°C 46%
18°C 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
14%
12°C
$20 ปริมาณ
15%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
37%
21°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mild maritime air. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but the current warm anomaly and unsettled pattern with showers favor milder nights. Model spread in timing of cloud breaks and wind strength creates uncertainty between 14–17°C outcomes, reflected in closely matched trader-implied probabilities across that range. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 29–30 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mild maritime air. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but the current warm anomaly and unsettled pattern with showers favor milder nights. Model spread in timing of cloud breaks and wind strength creates uncertainty between 14–17°C outcomes, reflected in closely matched trader-implied probabilities across that range. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 29–30 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 15°C for London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and limited radiative cooling under mild maritime air. Historical August lows average 13–14°C, but the current warm anomaly and unsettled pattern with showers favor milder nights. Model spread in timing of cloud breaks and wind strength creates uncertainty between 14–17°C outcomes, reflected in closely matched trader-implied probabilities across that range. Updated guidance from official agencies on August 29–30 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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