Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
20%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
29°C 20%
32°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$239 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$109 ปริมาณ
30%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$83 ปริมาณ
12%
33°C
$25 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$100 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$38 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$964วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$964วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and supporting numerical models point to a highest temperature on August 30 most likely between 29–32 °C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities. Weak southwest flow, abundant low-level moisture, and scattered showers plus thunderstorms are expected to limit daytime heating and cap peaks below the seasonal average of roughly 31 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and cloud cover, while ENSO-related warmth provides a slight upward bias relative to long-term climatology. Updated HKO bulletins and high-resolution model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum and resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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