Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
33°C 34%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
31%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
29°C or below
$109 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$108 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$109 ปริมาณ
17%
32°C
$173 ปริมาณ
31%
33°C
$709 ปริมาณ
34%
34°C
$900 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$260 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$226 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the closest contest between 32°C and 33°C for Hong Kong’s peak temperature on August 29 because official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and regional model ensembles show only marginal differences in expected afternoon conditions. Persistent high humidity, light southerly flow, and urban heat retention favor readings near the seasonal late-August norm of 31–32°C, yet scattered convective clouds or brief showers could suppress the maximum by 1°C while clearer skies would allow surface heating to push one degree higher. Recent model runs exhibit small spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence, keeping implied probabilities nearly even and sensitive to the next 24-hour forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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