**Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29 near 8–10°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after daytime highs of 16–17°C, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss once winds drop below 3–4 m/s. The closely matched market-implied odds around 4–6°C (26–28%) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight low, driven by minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, exact wind timing, and local urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Higher outcomes above 10°C carry low probability as current consensus points to continued cooling into the pre-dawn hours. Updated model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
6°C 29%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
2°C or below 26%
2°C or below
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
29%
7°C
26%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
20%
11°C
9%
12°C or higher
7%
6°C 29%
4°C 27%
5°C 27%
2°C or below 26%
2°C or below
26%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
27%
6°C
29%
7°C
26%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
20%
11°C
9%
12°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international sources indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29 near 8–10°C under clear to mostly clear skies and light easterly winds.** This setup favors radiational cooling overnight after daytime highs of 16–17°C, with dew points supporting efficient heat loss once winds drop below 3–4 m/s. The closely matched market-implied odds around 4–6°C (26–28%) reflect genuine uncertainty in the precise overnight low, driven by minor differences in model guidance on cloud cover, exact wind timing, and local urban heat island effects versus official station readings. Higher outcomes above 10°C carry low probability as current consensus points to continued cooling into the pre-dawn hours. Updated model runs or surface observations in the next 12–24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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