Forecast uncertainty for Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 29 centers on variable cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and radiative cooling under the city's 2,240 m elevation. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects 13–15°C amid widespread cloudiness and 5–25 mm of rain, consistent with multiple model runs showing lows near 13–14°C. Persistent rainy-season moisture and light winds limit extreme nocturnal drops, while clearer breaks could allow stronger longwave radiation loss. Historical August minima average near 14°C, with trader splits between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflecting model sensitivity to boundary-layer conditions and precipitation phasing rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model guidance and observational trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
19°C or higher 89%
9°C or below 81%
18°C 48%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
81%
10°C
14%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
48%
19°C or higher
89%
19°C or higher 89%
9°C or below 81%
18°C 48%
14°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
81%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
48%
19°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 29 centers on variable cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and radiative cooling under the city's 2,240 m elevation. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects 13–15°C amid widespread cloudiness and 5–25 mm of rain, consistent with multiple model runs showing lows near 13–14°C. Persistent rainy-season moisture and light winds limit extreme nocturnal drops, while clearer breaks could allow stronger longwave radiation loss. Historical August minima average near 14°C, with trader splits between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflecting model sensitivity to boundary-layer conditions and precipitation phasing rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model guidance and observational trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 29 centers on variable cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and radiative cooling under the city's 2,240 m elevation. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects 13–15°C amid widespread cloudiness and 5–25 mm of rain, consistent with multiple model runs showing lows near 13–14°C. Persistent rainy-season moisture and light winds limit extreme nocturnal drops, while clearer breaks could allow stronger longwave radiation loss. Historical August minima average near 14°C, with trader splits between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflecting model sensitivity to boundary-layer conditions and precipitation phasing rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model guidance and observational trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$150วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 29 centers on variable cloud cover, timing of convective showers, and radiative cooling under the city's 2,240 m elevation. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects 13–15°C amid widespread cloudiness and 5–25 mm of rain, consistent with multiple model runs showing lows near 13–14°C. Persistent rainy-season moisture and light winds limit extreme nocturnal drops, while clearer breaks could allow stronger longwave radiation loss. Historical August minima average near 14°C, with trader splits between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflecting model sensitivity to boundary-layer conditions and precipitation phasing rather than any major synoptic shift. Updated model guidance and observational trends through the evening will refine resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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