Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Mexico's SMN show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 28 likely settling between 13–15°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes strong radiative cooling after sunset, especially if skies clear and humidity remains moderate during the rainy season, while any increased cloud cover or lingering moisture could limit the drop and favor slightly higher readings. Model runs exhibit minor spread due to variable steering patterns and urban heat influences, creating the near-even implied probabilities across 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
13°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below 46%
14°C 46%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
46%
10°C
<1%
11°C
43%
12°C
45%
13°C
48%
14°C
46%
15°C
48%
16°C
43%
17°C
45%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
13°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below 46%
14°C 46%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
9°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
46%
10°C
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
17°C
$10 ปริมาณ
45%
18°C
$13 ปริมาณ
11%
19°C or higher
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Mexico's SMN show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 28 likely settling between 13–15°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes strong radiative cooling after sunset, especially if skies clear and humidity remains moderate during the rainy season, while any increased cloud cover or lingering moisture could limit the drop and favor slightly higher readings. Model runs exhibit minor spread due to variable steering patterns and urban heat influences, creating the near-even implied probabilities across 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Mexico's SMN show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 28 likely settling between 13–15°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes strong radiative cooling after sunset, especially if skies clear and humidity remains moderate during the rainy season, while any increased cloud cover or lingering moisture could limit the drop and favor slightly higher readings. Model runs exhibit minor spread due to variable steering patterns and urban heat influences, creating the near-even implied probabilities across 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like NOAA and Mexico's SMN show Mexico City's overnight minimum on August 28 likely settling between 13–15°C, aligning with the tight market clustering around those outcomes. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes strong radiative cooling after sunset, especially if skies clear and humidity remains moderate during the rainy season, while any increased cloud cover or lingering moisture could limit the drop and favor slightly higher readings. Model runs exhibit minor spread due to variable steering patterns and urban heat influences, creating the near-even implied probabilities across 13°C, 15°C, and 14°C. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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