Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a low near 55–56°F for San Francisco on August 29, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–57°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a marine layer advecting cool, moist air from the Pacific have held nighttime minima close to the 1991–2020 average of 56°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A weak trough has produced only modest additional cooling without triggering the clear, calm conditions needed for sub-52°F readings, while the absence of strong offshore winds has kept probabilities for 60°F-plus lows very low. Updated forecast guidance through the weekend reinforces this narrow range around the seasonal norm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
49°F or below 49%
50-51°F 42%
56-57°F 37%
58-59°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
49°F or below
49%
50-51°F
42%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
21%
68°F or higher
1%
49°F or below 49%
50-51°F 42%
56-57°F 37%
58-59°F 32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
49°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
49%
50-51°F
$5 ปริมาณ
42%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
62-63°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$5 ปริมาณ
21%
68°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a low near 55–56°F for San Francisco on August 29, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–57°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a marine layer advecting cool, moist air from the Pacific have held nighttime minima close to the 1991–2020 average of 56°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A weak trough has produced only modest additional cooling without triggering the clear, calm conditions needed for sub-52°F readings, while the absence of strong offshore winds has kept probabilities for 60°F-plus lows very low. Updated forecast guidance through the weekend reinforces this narrow range around the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a low near 55–56°F for San Francisco on August 29, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–57°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a marine layer advecting cool, moist air from the Pacific have held nighttime minima close to the 1991–2020 average of 56°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A weak trough has produced only modest additional cooling without triggering the clear, calm conditions needed for sub-52°F readings, while the absence of strong offshore winds has kept probabilities for 60°F-plus lows very low. Updated forecast guidance through the weekend reinforces this narrow range around the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to a low near 55–56°F for San Francisco on August 29, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 56–57°F bin. Persistent onshore flow and a marine layer advecting cool, moist air from the Pacific have held nighttime minima close to the 1991–2020 average of 56°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. A weak trough has produced only modest additional cooling without triggering the clear, calm conditions needed for sub-52°F readings, while the absence of strong offshore winds has kept probabilities for 60°F-plus lows very low. Updated forecast guidance through the weekend reinforces this narrow range around the seasonal norm.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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