Persistent marine layer stratus and strong onshore westerly flow of 10-20 mph are capping daytime heating along the San Francisco coast, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble model runs show a deeper inversion and limited afternoon clearing on August 29, following a brief warm surge earlier in the week that reached the mid-70s. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms near 68 °F while the spread between 66-67 °F and 68-69 °F outcomes reflects minor differences in predicted marine-layer depth and wind timing. Traders are weighting the balance of official forecasts that favor highs near 64-66 °F against the possibility of slightly greater solar heating if the stratus erodes earlier than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 35%
70-71°F 16%
64-65°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
$188 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$21 ปริมาณ
3%
64-65°F
$78 ปริมาณ
8%
66-67°F
$614 ปริมาณ
36%
68-69°F
$510 ปริมาณ
35%
70-71°F
$25 ปริมาณ
16%
72-73°F
$78 ปริมาณ
3%
74-75°F
$39 ปริมาณ
1%
76°F or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and strong onshore westerly flow of 10-20 mph are capping daytime heating along the San Francisco coast, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble model runs show a deeper inversion and limited afternoon clearing on August 29, following a brief warm surge earlier in the week that reached the mid-70s. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms near 68 °F while the spread between 66-67 °F and 68-69 °F outcomes reflects minor differences in predicted marine-layer depth and wind timing. Traders are weighting the balance of official forecasts that favor highs near 64-66 °F against the possibility of slightly greater solar heating if the stratus erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer stratus and strong onshore westerly flow of 10-20 mph are capping daytime heating along the San Francisco coast, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble model runs show a deeper inversion and limited afternoon clearing on August 29, following a brief warm surge earlier in the week that reached the mid-70s. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms near 68 °F while the spread between 66-67 °F and 68-69 °F outcomes reflects minor differences in predicted marine-layer depth and wind timing. Traders are weighting the balance of official forecasts that favor highs near 64-66 °F against the possibility of slightly greater solar heating if the stratus erodes earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,693วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer stratus and strong onshore westerly flow of 10-20 mph are capping daytime heating along the San Francisco coast, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered in the mid-to-upper 60s. Recent NWS guidance and ensemble model runs show a deeper inversion and limited afternoon clearing on August 29, following a brief warm surge earlier in the week that reached the mid-70s. This pattern aligns with climatological August norms near 68 °F while the spread between 66-67 °F and 68-69 °F outcomes reflects minor differences in predicted marine-layer depth and wind timing. Traders are weighting the balance of official forecasts that favor highs near 64-66 °F against the possibility of slightly greater solar heating if the stratus erodes earlier than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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