Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 1?
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
26%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
7%
31°C 35%
32°C 26%
30°C 19%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
24°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$200 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$210 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical low-pressure remnants from Typhoon Shadell are driving increased cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shenzhen through early September, moderating daytime heating and creating forecast uncertainty around peak temperatures. Official guidance and ensemble models show highs clustered near the seasonal norm of 31°C, with rain-cooled air masses and variable steering patterns differentiating outcomes between 29–33°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions and high dew points near 26°C further limit extreme warming, while any rapid clearing could allow brief spikes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and Central Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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