Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
20°C 32%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
19°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
28%
20°C
32%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
4%
20°C 32%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
19°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts points to a daytime high of 16–19°C in Buenos Aires on August 31 under stable late-winter conditions, with easterly flow off the Atlantic, light winds, and variable cloud cover limiting strong diurnal warming. Late August climatology typically features highs near 16–18°C, and the lack of significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 18–22°C. Minor differences in forecast cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, or exact wind direction can shift peak readings by 1–2°C across ensemble members, explaining the even distribution of trader-implied odds across that narrow band while keeping extremes below 10% probability. Updated official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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