Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a southwest flow ahead of an Atlantic trough that favors extensive cloud cover, scattered light showers, and limited solar heating. This setup aligns with late-August norms but suppresses temperatures below the long-term average high of roughly 24°C. Hourly guidance shows peaks most likely between 22–24°C, with wind speeds of 20–30 km/h adding minor mixing. Trader-implied probabilities, led by the 23°C outcome at 39.5%, closely track this narrow forecast range while assigning lower weight to warmer or cooler outliers given model agreement and the short time to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 29?
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
40%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
5%
23°C 40%
22°C 27%
24°C 19%
21°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,136 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$298 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$921 ปริมาณ
9%
22°C
$759 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$1,020 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$430 ปริมาณ
19%
25°C or higher
$461 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a southwest flow ahead of an Atlantic trough that favors extensive cloud cover, scattered light showers, and limited solar heating. This setup aligns with late-August norms but suppresses temperatures below the long-term average high of roughly 24°C. Hourly guidance shows peaks most likely between 22–24°C, with wind speeds of 20–30 km/h adding minor mixing. Trader-implied probabilities, led by the 23°C outcome at 39.5%, closely track this narrow forecast range while assigning lower weight to warmer or cooler outliers given model agreement and the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,093วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a southwest flow ahead of an Atlantic trough that favors extensive cloud cover, scattered light showers, and limited solar heating. This setup aligns with late-August norms but suppresses temperatures below the long-term average high of roughly 24°C. Hourly guidance shows peaks most likely between 22–24°C, with wind speeds of 20–30 km/h adding minor mixing. Trader-implied probabilities, led by the 23°C outcome at 39.5%, closely track this narrow forecast range while assigning lower weight to warmer or cooler outliers given model agreement and the short time to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,093วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources including Météo-France and international ensembles points to a daytime maximum near 23°C in Paris on August 29, driven by a southwest flow ahead of an Atlantic trough that favors extensive cloud cover, scattered light showers, and limited solar heating. This setup aligns with late-August norms but suppresses temperatures below the long-term average high of roughly 24°C. Hourly guidance shows peaks most likely between 22–24°C, with wind speeds of 20–30 km/h adding minor mixing. Trader-implied probabilities, led by the 23°C outcome at 39.5%, closely track this narrow forecast range while assigning lower weight to warmer or cooler outliers given model agreement and the short time to resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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