Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to a daytime high of 27–34°C on August 29 amid partly cloudy skies and a 50–65% chance of afternoon thunderstorms, which typically limit peak heating through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and the urban heat island effect within the Taipei basin, support afternoon temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Trader consensus favoring 35°C as the modal outcome reflects lingering uncertainty in numerical weather prediction runs, recent days of 33–36°C readings, and the potential for delayed or weaker convection allowing brief additional warming. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.