Recent model runs indicate Guangzhou's August 27 maximum will likely fall between 31–33°C, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover tied to a strengthening tropical disturbance east of the Philippines. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential rain bands limit daytime insolation and surface heating, while any clearing under subtropical ridge influence could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Key variables include forecast precipitation timing, boundary-layer humidity suppressing the diurnal temperature range, and steering flow that determines whether Guangdong experiences enhanced convection or partial breaks in cloudiness. Historical late-August baselines hover near 32–33°C, but short-range model spread creates the observed distribution across 30–34°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
32°C 35%
33°C 25%
31°C 20%
34°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
25%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 25%
31°C 20%
34°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$327 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$28 ปริมาณ
35%
33°C
$26 ปริมาณ
25%
34°C
$25 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate Guangzhou's August 27 maximum will likely fall between 31–33°C, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover tied to a strengthening tropical disturbance east of the Philippines. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential rain bands limit daytime insolation and surface heating, while any clearing under subtropical ridge influence could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Key variables include forecast precipitation timing, boundary-layer humidity suppressing the diurnal temperature range, and steering flow that determines whether Guangdong experiences enhanced convection or partial breaks in cloudiness. Historical late-August baselines hover near 32–33°C, but short-range model spread creates the observed distribution across 30–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate Guangzhou's August 27 maximum will likely fall between 31–33°C, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover tied to a strengthening tropical disturbance east of the Philippines. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential rain bands limit daytime insolation and surface heating, while any clearing under subtropical ridge influence could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Key variables include forecast precipitation timing, boundary-layer humidity suppressing the diurnal temperature range, and steering flow that determines whether Guangdong experiences enhanced convection or partial breaks in cloudiness. Historical late-August baselines hover near 32–33°C, but short-range model spread creates the observed distribution across 30–34°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,068วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs indicate Guangzhou's August 27 maximum will likely fall between 31–33°C, with market-implied probabilities peaking at 32°C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover tied to a strengthening tropical disturbance east of the Philippines. Persistent monsoon moisture and potential rain bands limit daytime insolation and surface heating, while any clearing under subtropical ridge influence could allow brief warming toward 34°C. Key variables include forecast precipitation timing, boundary-layer humidity suppressing the diurnal temperature range, and steering flow that determines whether Guangdong experiences enhanced convection or partial breaks in cloudiness. Historical late-August baselines hover near 32–33°C, but short-range model spread creates the observed distribution across 30–34°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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