Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France place Paris's August 25 high near 27–28 °C, with 26 °C also plausible if convection develops earlier. A southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air while increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (40–60 % in several runs), which can cap peak insolation and limit afternoon warming. This spread reflects typical late-summer model divergence on timing of showers versus breaks of sun. Climatologically, the date averages 24.5 °C, yet the month has run +3 °C above normal; the current setup therefore sits between suppressed and enhanced extremes, keeping the three leading bins tightly bunched. Updated 12–00 UTC model cycles and any observed convective initiation on the 24th will be the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 34%
28°C 26%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
15%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 34%
28°C 26%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
27°C
$3 ปริมาณ
34%
28°C
$7 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France place Paris's August 25 high near 27–28 °C, with 26 °C also plausible if convection develops earlier. A southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air while increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (40–60 % in several runs), which can cap peak insolation and limit afternoon warming. This spread reflects typical late-summer model divergence on timing of showers versus breaks of sun. Climatologically, the date averages 24.5 °C, yet the month has run +3 °C above normal; the current setup therefore sits between suppressed and enhanced extremes, keeping the three leading bins tightly bunched. Updated 12–00 UTC model cycles and any observed convective initiation on the 24th will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France place Paris's August 25 high near 27–28 °C, with 26 °C also plausible if convection develops earlier. A southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air while increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (40–60 % in several runs), which can cap peak insolation and limit afternoon warming. This spread reflects typical late-summer model divergence on timing of showers versus breaks of sun. Climatologically, the date averages 24.5 °C, yet the month has run +3 °C above normal; the current setup therefore sits between suppressed and enhanced extremes, keeping the three leading bins tightly bunched. Updated 12–00 UTC model cycles and any observed convective initiation on the 24th will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and Météo-France place Paris's August 25 high near 27–28 °C, with 26 °C also plausible if convection develops earlier. A southwesterly flow advects warmer, moister air while increasing cloud cover and thunderstorm probability (40–60 % in several runs), which can cap peak insolation and limit afternoon warming. This spread reflects typical late-summer model divergence on timing of showers versus breaks of sun. Climatologically, the date averages 24.5 °C, yet the month has run +3 °C above normal; the current setup therefore sits between suppressed and enhanced extremes, keeping the three leading bins tightly bunched. Updated 12–00 UTC model cycles and any observed convective initiation on the 24th will be the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย