Recent high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 23 near 22–23 °C, driving the tight 41.5 % / 35.5 % market split between those outcomes. Weak high pressure and limited southerly advection are expected to suppress strong warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. These conditions align closely with long-term August climatology for the region. Updated model runs and DWD short-range guidance released over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 23?
22°C 42%
23°C 36%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 42%
23°C 36%
21°C 11%
24°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
42%
23°C
36%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF ensembles place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 23 near 22–23 °C, driving the tight 41.5 % / 35.5 % market split between those outcomes. Weak high pressure and limited southerly advection are expected to suppress strong warming, while variable cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduce modest uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. These conditions align closely with long-term August climatology for the region. Updated model runs and DWD short-range guidance released over the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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