Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those feeding into Met Office, Météo-France, and private services, indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Paris on 24 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6 °C for the date, following a period of cooling after mid-August heat that peaked near 39 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, with modest model differences centered on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26–27 °C because those values align most closely with the current consensus maximum, while lower or higher outcomes would require notable forecast revisions in the final model runs before the daily maximum is observed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
26°C 40%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
40%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
26°C 40%
27°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$127 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$60 ปริมาณ
40%
27°C
$75 ปริมาณ
24%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$55 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$65 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those feeding into Met Office, Météo-France, and private services, indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Paris on 24 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6 °C for the date, following a period of cooling after mid-August heat that peaked near 39 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, with modest model differences centered on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26–27 °C because those values align most closely with the current consensus maximum, while lower or higher outcomes would require notable forecast revisions in the final model runs before the daily maximum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$393วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those feeding into Met Office, Météo-France, and private services, indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Paris on 24 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6 °C for the date, following a period of cooling after mid-August heat that peaked near 39 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, with modest model differences centered on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26–27 °C because those values align most closely with the current consensus maximum, while lower or higher outcomes would require notable forecast revisions in the final model runs before the daily maximum is observed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$393วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those feeding into Met Office, Météo-France, and private services, indicate a high of 26–28 °C in Paris on 24 August 2026 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This places the day slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.6 °C for the date, following a period of cooling after mid-August heat that peaked near 39 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, with modest model differences centered on exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26–27 °C because those values align most closely with the current consensus maximum, while lower or higher outcomes would require notable forecast revisions in the final model runs before the daily maximum is observed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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