**Stable high-pressure dominance and clear southerly flow position moderate temperatures of 20–22°C as the most likely outcomes for Cape Town’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official and model forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne consistently show sunny to mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, with daytime highs projected between 18–21°C (roughly 64–70°F). Southerly to southeasterly winds of 8–16 mph will moderate daytime warming while keeping skies cloud-free, consistent with typical late-winter climatology where average highs sit near 17–18°C. Recent model runs show little day-to-day change through the short-term window, with high pressure expected to hold through at least Wednesday and no fronts or significant moisture advection indicated. This stability explains the market’s concentration of implied probability around 20–22°C (collectively over 60%), with 21°C leading at 38.5%. Outliers below 19°C or above 24°C carry low probability given the narrow forecast spread and absence of model divergence at this lead time. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will primarily refine exact maxima within this narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
25°C or higher 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
10%
20°C
17%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
16%
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 17%
25°C or higher 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$18 ปริมาณ
42%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
23°C
$130 ปริมาณ
15%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
25°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure dominance and clear southerly flow position moderate temperatures of 20–22°C as the most likely outcomes for Cape Town’s highest temperature on August 25.**
Official and model forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne consistently show sunny to mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, with daytime highs projected between 18–21°C (roughly 64–70°F). Southerly to southeasterly winds of 8–16 mph will moderate daytime warming while keeping skies cloud-free, consistent with typical late-winter climatology where average highs sit near 17–18°C.
Recent model runs show little day-to-day change through the short-term window, with high pressure expected to hold through at least Wednesday and no fronts or significant moisture advection indicated. This stability explains the market’s concentration of implied probability around 20–22°C (collectively over 60%), with 21°C leading at 38.5%. Outliers below 19°C or above 24°C carry low probability given the narrow forecast spread and absence of model divergence at this lead time. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will primarily refine exact maxima within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$213วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure dominance and clear southerly flow position moderate temperatures of 20–22°C as the most likely outcomes for Cape Town’s highest temperature on August 25.**
Official and model forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne consistently show sunny to mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, with daytime highs projected between 18–21°C (roughly 64–70°F). Southerly to southeasterly winds of 8–16 mph will moderate daytime warming while keeping skies cloud-free, consistent with typical late-winter climatology where average highs sit near 17–18°C.
Recent model runs show little day-to-day change through the short-term window, with high pressure expected to hold through at least Wednesday and no fronts or significant moisture advection indicated. This stability explains the market’s concentration of implied probability around 20–22°C (collectively over 60%), with 21°C leading at 38.5%. Outliers below 19°C or above 24°C carry low probability given the narrow forecast spread and absence of model divergence at this lead time. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will primarily refine exact maxima within this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$213วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure dominance and clear southerly flow position moderate temperatures of 20–22°C as the most likely outcomes for Cape Town’s highest temperature on August 25.** Official and model forecasts from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and WindBorne consistently show sunny to mostly clear skies under a strong subtropical high, with daytime highs projected between 18–21°C (roughly 64–70°F). Southerly to southeasterly winds of 8–16 mph will moderate daytime warming while keeping skies cloud-free, consistent with typical late-winter climatology where average highs sit near 17–18°C. Recent model runs show little day-to-day change through the short-term window, with high pressure expected to hold through at least Wednesday and no fronts or significant moisture advection indicated. This stability explains the market’s concentration of implied probability around 20–22°C (collectively over 60%), with 21°C leading at 38.5%. Outliers below 19°C or above 24°C carry low probability given the narrow forecast spread and absence of model divergence at this lead time. Updated guidance over the next 24–48 hours will primarily refine exact maxima within this narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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