Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 25?
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 20%
14°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
10°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$32 ปริมาณ
31%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
17°C
$39 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international sources indicate a high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies and sustained winds of 15–25 km/h. Recent strong gusts from the Tasman Sea have advected warmer air northward, producing unseasonal warmth earlier in the week, but this pattern is easing toward more typical late-winter conditions. Differentiation among the 14°C, 15°C, and 16°C outcomes hinges on minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind backing, and cloud timing that could add or subtract 1°C at the official observation site. Historical August maxima average near 13–15°C, leaving limited scope for outliers above 16°C or below 14°C given stable model consensus through the short lead time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย