Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
22%
15°C
55%
16°C
20%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 55%
14°C 22%
16°C 20%
13°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$67 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$79 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$104 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$106 ปริมาณ
4%
14°C
$273 ปริมาณ
22%
15°C
$157 ปริมาณ
55%
16°C
$217 ปริมาณ
20%
17°C
$181 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,265วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,265วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office project a daytime maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 15°C outcome at 55% implied probability. This reflects near-average late-winter conditions per NIWA's seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest likelihood (45%) to near-normal temperatures across the Wellington region amid typical variability from southerly fronts and wind patterns. Historical August highs average 12–13°C, rarely exceeding 15–16°C, with current model runs showing limited warming from transient northerly influences or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance through August 21–22 reinforces the 14–15°C range as the central scenario, though forecast adjustments from evolving pressure systems could shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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