Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
17%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
33°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$295 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$61 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$15 ปริมาณ
36%
32°C
$43 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$20 ปริมาณ
17%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C or higher
$44 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$765วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$765วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 27, driven by a persistent southerly airstream, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. This aligns with late-August climatology of roughly 32°C highs amid the East Asian monsoon, though ongoing rain from regional systems such as Tropical Storm Narra is expected to cap peaks slightly below seasonal norms. Model consensus favors 31°C as the most likely outcome, with traders assigning it the highest implied probability (35.5%) while assigning meaningful weight to nearby values of 30°C and 32°C given typical forecast spread and resolution criteria based on official station readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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