Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Tokyo on August 27, moderating peak heating under the influence of a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C, as reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit further warming, while southerly flow maintains high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C, reflecting close model agreement on these thresholds amid timing uncertainties in convective activity; historical late-August baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how deviations in storm coverage could shift outcomes toward 29°C or 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
$270 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$309 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$1,302 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$1,398 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$363 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$1,028 ปริมาณ
15%
33°C
$754 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$1,133 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$258 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$1,149 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$423 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Tokyo on August 27, moderating peak heating under the influence of a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C, as reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit further warming, while southerly flow maintains high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C, reflecting close model agreement on these thresholds amid timing uncertainties in convective activity; historical late-August baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how deviations in storm coverage could shift outcomes toward 29°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,387วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Tokyo on August 27, moderating peak heating under the influence of a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C, as reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit further warming, while southerly flow maintains high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C, reflecting close model agreement on these thresholds amid timing uncertainties in convective activity; historical late-August baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how deviations in storm coverage could shift outcomes toward 29°C or 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,387วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms for Tokyo on August 27, moderating peak heating under the influence of a lingering Pacific high-pressure system. This setup favors a daily maximum near 31–32°C, as reduced solar insolation from cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation limit further warming, while southerly flow maintains high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C, reflecting close model agreement on these thresholds amid timing uncertainties in convective activity; historical late-August baselines average 30–31°C, underscoring how deviations in storm coverage could shift outcomes toward 29°C or 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย