Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in São Paulo on August 27 likely between 14–18°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the closely bunched market probabilities peaking at 14–16°C, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble outputs that show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Recent days have featured minimums near or below the August climatological average of roughly 12–15°C, with dry conditions favoring clearer nights and sharper drops. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind speed ahead of the 27th will be the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 27?
20°C or higher 40%
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C or higher
40%
20°C or higher 40%
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
24%
13°C
24%
14°C
27%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
26%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in São Paulo on August 27 likely between 14–18°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the closely bunched market probabilities peaking at 14–16°C, reflecting trader weighting of ensemble outputs that show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Recent days have featured minimums near or below the August climatological average of roughly 12–15°C, with dry conditions favoring clearer nights and sharper drops. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind speed ahead of the 27th will be the key near-term catalyst.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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