Traders see tight clustering around 14–16°C for Sao Paulo’s August 26 low because winter high-pressure systems and southerly cold-air advection are creating modest radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Recent model consensus from meteorological centers shows overnight temperatures hinging on boundary-layer wind speeds and the precise timing of any frontal passage, which can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 15°C provide context, yet current ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in local urban heat retention versus clear-sky cooling rates. Tomorrow’s updated guidance will likely resolve whether conditions favor the lower or higher side of this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
18°C 45%
15°C 35%
16°C 30%
14°C 28%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
35%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
45%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
15%
18°C 45%
15°C 35%
16°C 30%
14°C 28%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
35%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
45%
19°C
13%
20°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see tight clustering around 14–16°C for Sao Paulo’s August 26 low because winter high-pressure systems and southerly cold-air advection are creating modest radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Recent model consensus from meteorological centers shows overnight temperatures hinging on boundary-layer wind speeds and the precise timing of any frontal passage, which can shift minima by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines near 15°C provide context, yet current ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in local urban heat retention versus clear-sky cooling rates. Tomorrow’s updated guidance will likely resolve whether conditions favor the lower or higher side of this narrow range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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