**Trader sentiment reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for the overnight low in Los Angeles on August 27, 2026, with probabilities clustered around 66–77°F and no single range exceeding 26%.** Current National Weather Service and private model guidance points to lows in the lower to mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-August conditions in the Los Angeles Basin. Key scientific drivers include the depth and strength of the coastal marine layer—a cool, moist boundary-layer air mass advected onshore by the typical southwest flow. This layer, capped by a subsidence inversion from the Pacific high, limits nocturnal radiational cooling; thicker or cloudier marine air keeps surface temperatures higher (near 72–75°F), while a shallower or clearer layer allows more cooling toward the mid- to upper 60s. Cloud cover, dew-point temperatures near 65–68°F, and light winds (generally under 10 mph overnight) further modulate the rate of temperature drop, as does the precise timing of any clearing. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on inversion height and low-cloud persistence for the night of August 26–27, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities. Historical August norms at coastal stations (e.g., LAX) feature overnight lows around 65–68°F, but persistent onshore flow and elevated marine influence this week have supported warmer minima. No major synoptic shifts (such as strong offshore Santa Ana winds) are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the next few forecast updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 27?
64-65°F 34%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 34%
66-67°F 26%
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
34%
82°F or higher
9%
64-65°F 34%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 34%
66-67°F 26%
63°F or below
9%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
34%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment reflects substantial forecast uncertainty for the overnight low in Los Angeles on August 27, 2026, with probabilities clustered around 66–77°F and no single range exceeding 26%.** Current National Weather Service and private model guidance points to lows in the lower to mid-70s under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with late-August conditions in the Los Angeles Basin. Key scientific drivers include the depth and strength of the coastal marine layer—a cool, moist boundary-layer air mass advected onshore by the typical southwest flow. This layer, capped by a subsidence inversion from the Pacific high, limits nocturnal radiational cooling; thicker or cloudier marine air keeps surface temperatures higher (near 72–75°F), while a shallower or clearer layer allows more cooling toward the mid- to upper 60s. Cloud cover, dew-point temperatures near 65–68°F, and light winds (generally under 10 mph overnight) further modulate the rate of temperature drop, as does the precise timing of any clearing. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on inversion height and low-cloud persistence for the night of August 26–27, producing the tight clustering of market probabilities. Historical August norms at coastal stations (e.g., LAX) feature overnight lows around 65–68°F, but persistent onshore flow and elevated marine influence this week have supported warmer minima. No major synoptic shifts (such as strong offshore Santa Ana winds) are expected before resolution, leaving the outcome sensitive to the next few forecast updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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