Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight uncertainty in Paris daytime maximum temperatures for August 27, driven by an unstable synoptic pattern with increasing cloud cover, southerly flow, and potential convective activity. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–28°C, reflecting moderation from partial cloudiness and scattered showers that limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology shows typical late-August highs near 24–25°C, but current moisture and wind patterns support slightly elevated values without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors, with outcomes near 27°C reflecting the narrow spread in latest runs ahead of final model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
27°C 33%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 33%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
25%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from multiple models highlight uncertainty in Paris daytime maximum temperatures for August 27, driven by an unstable synoptic pattern with increasing cloud cover, southerly flow, and potential convective activity. Ensemble guidance clusters around 25–28°C, reflecting moderation from partial cloudiness and scattered showers that limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions. Historical climatology shows typical late-August highs near 24–25°C, but current moisture and wind patterns support slightly elevated values without extreme heat. Traders appear to weigh the balance between these factors, with outcomes near 27°C reflecting the narrow spread in latest runs ahead of final model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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