Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a high around 25°C for Istanbul on August 29 amid a cooling trend driven by northerly winds and scattered showers on August 28. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance mixing, keeping maxima tightly clustered in the 24–26°C range that dominates trader probabilities. Small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and boundary-layer humidity explain the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while historical August averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from regional pressure patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
11%
24°C
34%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
7%
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 12%
23°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
24°C
$12 ปริมาณ
34%
25°C
$34 ปริมาณ
39%
26°C
$222 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a high around 25°C for Istanbul on August 29 amid a cooling trend driven by northerly winds and scattered showers on August 28. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance mixing, keeping maxima tightly clustered in the 24–26°C range that dominates trader probabilities. Small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and boundary-layer humidity explain the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while historical August averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from regional pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$293วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a high around 25°C for Istanbul on August 29 amid a cooling trend driven by northerly winds and scattered showers on August 28. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance mixing, keeping maxima tightly clustered in the 24–26°C range that dominates trader probabilities. Small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and boundary-layer humidity explain the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while historical August averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from regional pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$293วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a high around 25°C for Istanbul on August 29 amid a cooling trend driven by northerly winds and scattered showers on August 28. These conditions limit peak insolation and enhance mixing, keeping maxima tightly clustered in the 24–26°C range that dominates trader probabilities. Small forecast differences in cloud timing, wind gust strength, and boundary-layer humidity explain the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while historical August averages near 28°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated ensemble runs ahead of resolution will clarify any late adjustments from regional pressure patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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