Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$115 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$8 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$105 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$60 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$281 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$631 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$266 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$97 ปริมาณ
24%
33°C
$19 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$16 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C or higher
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,659วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,659วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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