**Current official and model forecasts for Wellington on August 27 point to a daily maximum of 13–14 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (14 °C at 54 % implied probability, 13 °C at 21.5 %).** A southerly flow following a frontal passage on the 26th is advecting cooler maritime air southward, while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models shows limited spread around these values, with highs unlikely to exceed 15 °C or fall below 12 °C under the expected wind and moisture regime. Recent observations from Wellington Airport confirm a cooling trend, with maxima of 15–17 °C on the preceding days giving way to the current setup. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to minor timing or intensity variations in the showers that could nudge the peak by 1 °C in either direction. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 27?
14°C 54%
13°C 22%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
ใหม่
$24,281 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,281 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
22%
14°C
54%
15°C
16%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
13°C 22%
15°C 16%
12°C 4%
ใหม่
$24,281 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$24,281 ปริมาณ
Aug 27, 2026
8°C or below
$1,294 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$244 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$567 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$406 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$3,729 ปริมาณ
4%
13°C
$5,716 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$4,905 ปริมาณ
54%
15°C
$4,245 ปริมาณ
16%
16°C
$1,523 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$1,258 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C or higher
$393 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official and model forecasts for Wellington on August 27 point to a daily maximum of 13–14 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (14 °C at 54 % implied probability, 13 °C at 21.5 %).**
A southerly flow following a frontal passage on the 26th is advecting cooler maritime air southward, while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models shows limited spread around these values, with highs unlikely to exceed 15 °C or fall below 12 °C under the expected wind and moisture regime.
Recent observations from Wellington Airport confirm a cooling trend, with maxima of 15–17 °C on the preceding days giving way to the current setup. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to minor timing or intensity variations in the showers that could nudge the peak by 1 °C in either direction. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,281วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official and model forecasts for Wellington on August 27 point to a daily maximum of 13–14 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (14 °C at 54 % implied probability, 13 °C at 21.5 %).**
A southerly flow following a frontal passage on the 26th is advecting cooler maritime air southward, while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models shows limited spread around these values, with highs unlikely to exceed 15 °C or fall below 12 °C under the expected wind and moisture regime.
Recent observations from Wellington Airport confirm a cooling trend, with maxima of 15–17 °C on the preceding days giving way to the current setup. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to minor timing or intensity variations in the showers that could nudge the peak by 1 °C in either direction. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,281วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official and model forecasts for Wellington on August 27 point to a daily maximum of 13–14 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (14 °C at 54 % implied probability, 13 °C at 21.5 %).** A southerly flow following a frontal passage on the 26th is advecting cooler maritime air southward, while increasing cloud cover and scattered showers suppress daytime heating. Ensemble guidance from GFS, ECMWF, and regional models shows limited spread around these values, with highs unlikely to exceed 15 °C or fall below 12 °C under the expected wind and moisture regime. Recent observations from Wellington Airport confirm a cooling trend, with maxima of 15–17 °C on the preceding days giving way to the current setup. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus forecast heavily while assigning modest probability to minor timing or intensity variations in the showers that could nudge the peak by 1 °C in either direction. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational constraints ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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