Recent forecasts for September 1, 2026, indicate Hong Kong temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Multiple models, including those from the Hong Kong Observatory, show reduced insolation and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (30.5%) and 29°C (47.0%). An emerging El Niño event supports a broader seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet near-term atmospheric instability and high humidity suppress maxima below climatological peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will clarify any intensification or clearing that could shift probabilities toward 30°C or higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 1?
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
ใหม่
$25,550 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,550 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
47%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
31°C 5.1%
ใหม่
$25,550 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$25,550 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4,063 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$3,165 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$4,554 ปริมาณ
47%
30°C
$3,069 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$3,448 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$3,922 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$2,291 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$534 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for September 1, 2026, indicate Hong Kong temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Multiple models, including those from the Hong Kong Observatory, show reduced insolation and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (30.5%) and 29°C (47.0%). An emerging El Niño event supports a broader seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet near-term atmospheric instability and high humidity suppress maxima below climatological peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will clarify any intensification or clearing that could shift probabilities toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,550วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for September 1, 2026, indicate Hong Kong temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Multiple models, including those from the Hong Kong Observatory, show reduced insolation and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (30.5%) and 29°C (47.0%). An emerging El Niño event supports a broader seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet near-term atmospheric instability and high humidity suppress maxima below climatological peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will clarify any intensification or clearing that could shift probabilities toward 30°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,550วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for September 1, 2026, indicate Hong Kong temperatures peaking near 28–29°C amid widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea. Multiple models, including those from the Hong Kong Observatory, show reduced insolation and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 28°C (30.5%) and 29°C (47.0%). An emerging El Niño event supports a broader seasonal outlook of normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet near-term atmospheric instability and high humidity suppress maxima below climatological peaks. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will clarify any intensification or clearing that could shift probabilities toward 30°C or higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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