Northwesterly winds are driving the current forecast consensus for Wellington's September 2 maximum, with official guidance and ensemble models showing a peak near 14–15 °C amid mild spring advection and moderate cloud cover. This positions 16 °C as the market leader at 69 % implied probability because it accounts for typical model spread and the chance of slightly stronger downslope warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, while 17 °C at 20 % captures the upper tail of variability if winds strengthen further. Lower outcomes such as 15 °C remain possible if marine air intrudes earlier, but recent observations confirm stable high pressure to the east maintaining the mild northwesterly regime through the 24-hour window. Updated NWP runs overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 2?
16°C 69%
17°C 18%
15°C 9%
18°C 3%
ใหม่
$23,935 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,935 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
9%
16°C
69%
17°C
18%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 69%
17°C 18%
15°C 9%
18°C 3%
ใหม่
$23,935 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,935 ปริมาณ
Sep 2, 2026
10°C or below
$315 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$375 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$407 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$1,150 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$1,734 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$7,058 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$5,212 ปริมาณ
69%
17°C
$4,358 ปริมาณ
18%
18°C
$1,981 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$1,122 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds are driving the current forecast consensus for Wellington's September 2 maximum, with official guidance and ensemble models showing a peak near 14–15 °C amid mild spring advection and moderate cloud cover. This positions 16 °C as the market leader at 69 % implied probability because it accounts for typical model spread and the chance of slightly stronger downslope warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, while 17 °C at 20 % captures the upper tail of variability if winds strengthen further. Lower outcomes such as 15 °C remain possible if marine air intrudes earlier, but recent observations confirm stable high pressure to the east maintaining the mild northwesterly regime through the 24-hour window. Updated NWP runs overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,935วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds are driving the current forecast consensus for Wellington's September 2 maximum, with official guidance and ensemble models showing a peak near 14–15 °C amid mild spring advection and moderate cloud cover. This positions 16 °C as the market leader at 69 % implied probability because it accounts for typical model spread and the chance of slightly stronger downslope warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, while 17 °C at 20 % captures the upper tail of variability if winds strengthen further. Lower outcomes such as 15 °C remain possible if marine air intrudes earlier, but recent observations confirm stable high pressure to the east maintaining the mild northwesterly regime through the 24-hour window. Updated NWP runs overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,935วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds are driving the current forecast consensus for Wellington's September 2 maximum, with official guidance and ensemble models showing a peak near 14–15 °C amid mild spring advection and moderate cloud cover. This positions 16 °C as the market leader at 69 % implied probability because it accounts for typical model spread and the chance of slightly stronger downslope warming on the lee side of the North Island ranges, while 17 °C at 20 % captures the upper tail of variability if winds strengthen further. Lower outcomes such as 15 °C remain possible if marine air intrudes earlier, but recent observations confirm stable high pressure to the east maintaining the mild northwesterly regime through the 24-hour window. Updated NWP runs overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย