Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on September 3, with light showers possible and west-southwest winds limiting daytime warming under increasing cloud cover. Early spring conditions feature typical variability around the 19°C September average maximum, influenced by shifting high-pressure systems and the approach of a frontal boundary that could cap temperatures below recent warmer readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 19–20°C outcomes, likely driven by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and model spread on peak heating, while lower probabilities on 21°C+ or sub-17°C reflect historical rarity of extremes this early in the season. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify the narrow range separating leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 3?
20°C 43%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
14%
19°C
29%
20°C
43%
21°C
6%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
2%
20°C 43%
19°C 29%
18°C 14%
21°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$88 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$202 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$55 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C
$12 ปริมาณ
14%
19°C
$58 ปริมาณ
29%
20°C
$72 ปริมาณ
43%
21°C
$6 ปริมาณ
6%
22°C
$8 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on September 3, with light showers possible and west-southwest winds limiting daytime warming under increasing cloud cover. Early spring conditions feature typical variability around the 19°C September average maximum, influenced by shifting high-pressure systems and the approach of a frontal boundary that could cap temperatures below recent warmer readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 19–20°C outcomes, likely driven by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and model spread on peak heating, while lower probabilities on 21°C+ or sub-17°C reflect historical rarity of extremes this early in the season. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify the narrow range separating leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on September 3, with light showers possible and west-southwest winds limiting daytime warming under increasing cloud cover. Early spring conditions feature typical variability around the 19°C September average maximum, influenced by shifting high-pressure systems and the approach of a frontal boundary that could cap temperatures below recent warmer readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 19–20°C outcomes, likely driven by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and model spread on peak heating, while lower probabilities on 21°C+ or sub-17°C reflect historical rarity of extremes this early in the season. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify the narrow range separating leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$666วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 17–18°C for Buenos Aires on September 3, with light showers possible and west-southwest winds limiting daytime warming under increasing cloud cover. Early spring conditions feature typical variability around the 19°C September average maximum, influenced by shifting high-pressure systems and the approach of a frontal boundary that could cap temperatures below recent warmer readings. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors 19–20°C outcomes, likely driven by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and model spread on peak heating, while lower probabilities on 21°C+ or sub-17°C reflect historical rarity of extremes this early in the season. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of resolution will clarify the narrow range separating leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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