Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance indicate a southwest flow ahead of a cold front will limit daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 4, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 m/s keeping the maximum temperature near 20–22 °C. Ensemble consensus and recent model runs cluster around 21–22 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, while historical September 4 averages near 20.4 °C provide climatological context. Minor spread in hourly peaks across runs reflects typical short-range uncertainty in frontal timing and local heating, with fresh guidance expected from the next KNMI and ECMWF updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 4?
22°C 48%
21°C 31%
23°C 14%
20°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
31%
22°C
48%
23°C
14%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
21°C 31%
23°C 14%
20°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 4, 2026
17°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$76 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$68 ปริมาณ
31%
22°C
$101 ปริมาณ
48%
23°C
$16 ปริมาณ
14%
24°C
$78 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance indicate a southwest flow ahead of a cold front will limit daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 4, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 m/s keeping the maximum temperature near 20–22 °C. Ensemble consensus and recent model runs cluster around 21–22 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, while historical September 4 averages near 20.4 °C provide climatological context. Minor spread in hourly peaks across runs reflects typical short-range uncertainty in frontal timing and local heating, with fresh guidance expected from the next KNMI and ECMWF updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$338วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance indicate a southwest flow ahead of a cold front will limit daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 4, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 m/s keeping the maximum temperature near 20–22 °C. Ensemble consensus and recent model runs cluster around 21–22 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, while historical September 4 averages near 20.4 °C provide climatological context. Minor spread in hourly peaks across runs reflects typical short-range uncertainty in frontal timing and local heating, with fresh guidance expected from the next KNMI and ECMWF updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$338วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance indicate a southwest flow ahead of a cold front will limit daytime heating in Amsterdam on September 4, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and winds of 15–20 m/s keeping the maximum temperature near 20–22 °C. Ensemble consensus and recent model runs cluster around 21–22 °C as the most probable peak, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring those outcomes, while historical September 4 averages near 20.4 °C provide climatological context. Minor spread in hourly peaks across runs reflects typical short-range uncertainty in frontal timing and local heating, with fresh guidance expected from the next KNMI and ECMWF updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย