Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands on September 3, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity levels sustaining overnight temperatures. This setup limits radiative cooling, supporting minimum readings likely in the 17–19°C range rather than the 12°C historical average low. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with the warmest solutions tied to stronger advection and persistent low-level moisture. These conditions align with trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 17°C, including the leading 22°C-or-higher bucket, while lower probabilities for 15°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clear skies or northerly shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official guidance will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily low measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 3?
22°C or higher 93%
16°C 27%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
25%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
93%
22°C or higher 93%
16°C 27%
17°C 27%
18°C 27%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
16%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
25%
20°C
20%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over the Netherlands on September 3, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity levels sustaining overnight temperatures. This setup limits radiative cooling, supporting minimum readings likely in the 17–19°C range rather than the 12°C historical average low. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread, with the warmest solutions tied to stronger advection and persistent low-level moisture. These conditions align with trader emphasis on outcomes at or above 17°C, including the leading 22°C-or-higher bucket, while lower probabilities for 15°C or below reflect the low likelihood of clear skies or northerly shifts before resolution. Updated model runs and official guidance will refine the exact minimum ahead of the daily low measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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