Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS valid as of 31 August 2026, indicate daytime maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 1 September near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and surface pressures around 1010 hPa. This consensus aligns with early-September climatology (historical average highs near 30 °C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or heat-wave conditions. Minor inter-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the market-implied odds favoring 32 °C (77 %) over 33 °C (22.5 %), while probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band remain negligible given the stable synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
32°C 77%
33°C 21%
31°C 1.1%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$15,525 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,525 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
77%
33°C
21%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 77%
33°C 21%
31°C 1.1%
34°C <1%
ใหม่
$15,525 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,525 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$891 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$970 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$4,174 ปริมาณ
77%
33°C
$5,339 ปริมาณ
21%
34°C
$1,032 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$88 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$760 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$1,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$395 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$340 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$340 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS valid as of 31 August 2026, indicate daytime maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 1 September near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and surface pressures around 1010 hPa. This consensus aligns with early-September climatology (historical average highs near 30 °C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or heat-wave conditions. Minor inter-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the market-implied odds favoring 32 °C (77 %) over 33 °C (22.5 %), while probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band remain negligible given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,525วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS valid as of 31 August 2026, indicate daytime maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 1 September near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and surface pressures around 1010 hPa. This consensus aligns with early-September climatology (historical average highs near 30 °C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or heat-wave conditions. Minor inter-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the market-implied odds favoring 32 °C (77 %) over 33 °C (22.5 %), while probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band remain negligible given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,525วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including runs from ECMWF and GFS valid as of 31 August 2026, indicate daytime maximum temperatures in Tel Aviv on 1 September near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwesterly flow and surface pressures around 1010 hPa. This consensus aligns with early-September climatology (historical average highs near 30 °C) and the absence of strong warm-air advection or heat-wave conditions. Minor inter-model differences in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing explain the market-implied odds favoring 32 °C (77 %) over 33 °C (22.5 %), while probabilities for outcomes outside this narrow band remain negligible given the stable synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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